The Brier Index
Weekly report · Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026

20 of 27 ranges held this week

The 1- and 7-day ranges whose date fell this week, graded against the Binance close at 00:00 UTC. At 8 in 10 the target was 22 of 27. 7 misses, listed below.

Coin by coin

CoinHorizonGradedHeldMissed
Bitcoin1 day651
Bitcoin7 days330
Ethereum1 day642
Ethereum7 days321
Solana1 day651
Solana7 days312

The misses

What is still open

30-day ranges are graded on their own date. The oldest one still waiting is graded on Nov 6, 2026. Every open forecast is listed on each coin's page until its date arrives.

Generated from the published record, the same numbers as on each coin's page; nothing here is a call or a recommendation. The author checks the figures and writes any judgment separately, as an article. How the index works · The test behind the model.

← Week ending Oct 11: 4 of 9 ranges held · Week ending Oct 25: 43 of 46 ranges held →